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NFL Playoff Lines


How to Wager on NFL Play­off Lines

Many gam­blers do not have a good under­stand­ing of how lines are actu­ally deter­mined. Many peo­ple are con­vinced that there is a machine or some bookie in a smoke filled room deter­min­ing the NFL play­off lines.

This couldn’t be far­ther from the truth. NFL play­off lines are orig­i­nally set by many fac­tors. Odd­s­mak­ers will take into account things such as a team record, quar­ter­backs, injuries, offen­sive pro­duc­tion, defen­sive pro­duc­tion, the suc­cess or lack thereof the coaches have against each other, home-field advan­tage, the his­tory the two teams have play­ing each other, the sce­nario of one team need­ing a game des­per­ately com­pared to the other team not hav­ing as much inter­est, and the list goes on and on. It is true that odd­s­mak­ers put out the orig­i­nal NFL play­off lines but how the lines move is not deter­mined by them.

NFL play­off lines are directly affected by the bet­ting pub­lic. The bet­ting pub­lic places wagers on NFL play­off lines and depend­ing on how heav­ily the money goes on one team will directly affect how the lines move. For exam­ple, if the New Orleans Saints are play­ing the St. Louis Rams and the New Orleans Saints open as a seven point favorite, this means the New Orleans Saints must win by at least eight points to cover the spread and for the gam­bler to win his wager the Saints must win by eight, if the New Orleans Saints win by seven it is con­sid­ered a “push” and the bet­tor does not win or lose. This also means that the St. Louis Rams can lose by six points and the bet­tor who places a wager on the St. Louis Rams to cover the spread will win. If the St. Louis Rams lose by eight points then they would lose their wager but if the Rams lose by seven points it will be a push.

Using this exam­ple, if the gen­eral pub­lic placed wagers heav­ily on the St. Louis Rams then you will imme­di­ately see the point spread drop. The Rams might have opened up as a seven point under­dog but within hours you can see the spread drop to pos­si­bly six, five, or even lower. The odd­s­mak­ers have noth­ing to do with the NFL lines mov­ing because it is directly affected by the bet­ting pub­lic. The same sce­nario rings true in every aspect of wager­ing on any NFL play­off lines. If you pre­fer to wager on the over and under then the same sit­u­a­tion can occur or even wager­ing on a half­time spread. A good source for NFL play­off wager­ing is Lines­Maker Sportsbook.

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