Sports Betting: Understanding the Concept of Variance
Who doesn’t want to win at sports betting? However, everyone knows that there is lot of variance involved with betting on sports. In simple words, variance is the evaluation of how far a specific set of numbers are spread out from each other. In case the numbers are spread in a tight manner, then it is referred as low variance. On the other hand, if the numbers are spread wide apart then it is considered as high variance.
Although everyone will want a low variance so that one can win every night, sports betting doesn’t work that way and instead have a very high variance. It is not uncommon to find around 10–30 times more variance in sports gambling than you are going to find when betting on the stock market. The variance, however, may reduce over the long term.
You always need to remember the fact that the variance is higher with fewer games bet, courtesy the law of larger numbers. This simply means that your prospects of winning or losing a lot increases when the number of wagers is less. This brings us to the most important point to sustain in sports betting, which is the ability to withstand losing streaks and will to wait for long-term profits.
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